Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.007419 0.008307 0.009278 0.010421 0.011734 0.013199 0.014964
2025-04-20 0.005959 0.007147 0.008555 0.010361 0.012635 0.015426 0.019150
2025-04-27 0.005319 0.006678 0.008381 0.010698 0.013808 0.017899 0.023787
2025-05-04 0.004742 0.006168 0.008034 0.010693 0.014453 0.019688 0.027716
2025-05-11 0.004328 0.005803 0.007803 0.010772 0.015168 0.021605 0.032064
2025-05-18 0.003936 0.005414 0.007481 0.010659 0.015555 0.023051 0.035880
2025-05-25 0.003673 0.005172 0.007332 0.010763 0.016254 0.025030 0.040833
2025-06-01 0.003398 0.004885 0.007081 0.010672 0.016619 0.026497 0.045131
2025-06-08 0.003095 0.004526 0.006687 0.010307 0.016478 0.027080 0.047912
2025-06-15 0.002919 0.004346 0.006549 0.010337 0.016995 0.028852 0.053199
2025-06-22 0.002837 0.004303 0.006621 0.010717 0.018156 0.031927 0.061606
2025-06-29 0.002633 0.004050 0.006328 0.010439 0.018093 0.032688 0.065345
2025-07-06 0.002437 0.003804 0.006042 0.010168 0.018054 0.033578 0.069746
2025-07-13 0.002299 0.003644 0.005889 0.010127 0.018462 0.035446 0.076833
2025-07-20 0.002234 0.003602 0.005936 0.010454 0.019628 0.039072 0.088950
2025-07-27 0.002124 0.003473 0.005815 0.010448 0.020115 0.041297 0.098105
2025-08-03 0.002035 0.003374 0.005741 0.010526 0.020781 0.044030 0.109302
2025-08-10 0.001929 0.003236 0.005582 0.010416 0.021025 0.045806 0.118290
2025-08-17 0.001859 0.003158 0.005530 0.010517 0.021748 0.048867 0.131891
2025-08-24 0.001770 0.003041 0.005395 0.010429 0.022028 0.050859 0.142787
2025-08-31 0.001657 0.002871 0.005144 0.010073 0.021635 0.051042 0.147912
2025-09-07 0.001596 0.002796 0.005074 0.010103 0.022172 0.053804 0.162571
2025-09-14 0.001575 0.002797 0.005154 0.010472 0.023596 0.059283 0.188731